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Wednesday, December 20, 2006

The future of real estate is in ‘the long tail’ (1 of 4)

The Long Tail

The future of real estate is in ‘the long tail’ (1 of 4)

“For too long we’ve been suffering the tyranny of lowest-common-denominator fare, subjected to brain-dead summer blockbusters and manufactured pop. Why? Economics. Many of our assumptions about popular taste are actually artifacts of poor supply-and-demand matching - a market response to inefficient distribution.” Wired Magazine, The Long Tail, Oct. 2004.

Sound familiar when it comes to strip malls, subdivisions and office parks, which make up a vast majority of new real estate investment?

Enter The Long Tail - “the realization that the sum of many small markets is worth as much, if not more, than a few large markets. For instance, iTunes now has more brand recognition than Tower, Netflix forced Blockbuster to follow their business model, and Amazon is preferred over Wal-Mart by the next generation of shoppers. The graphic shows why - there is a much larger market if the ‘long tail’ (in yellow) is added - in other words, anything overlooked by the mainstream. In fact, the long tail is often larger than the ‘big head’ (orange):

“What percentage of the top 10,000 titles in any online media store (Netflix, iTunes, Amazon, or any other) will rent or sell at least once a month?” People typically guess 20%.  The answer is 99%.  Full story here. The ‘why’ or ‘how’ is the internet, and the reason the future of real estate is in the long tail.  Part 2 tomorrow.

Speaking of daily resources, you can find one at The Long Tail blog.

Posted by Neil Takemoto in • Economic GardeningInvestment | (0) Comments | (0) Trackbacks | Permalink

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